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Low Tide Alert

A  Low Tide  has been confirmed at 4240 (down 3% so far). If 4240 is the end of this  Low Tide , we can expect the next  High Tide  to rise to 4494 sometime in August or September. 4494 seems high so 4240 might not be the bottom if this  Low Tide . The May 12, 2021  Low Tide  fell 4% to 4057 The March 25, 2021  Low Tide  fell 3% to 3854 The March 4, 2021  Low Tide  fell 6% to 3723 The January 29, 2021  Low Tide  fell 5% to 3694 The January 4, 2021  Low Tide  fell 3% to 3663 Fair winds and following seas and buy  low and sell high! Trading Tide Levels  (at the time  of the post): Tide Level Falling  ( S&P  @ 4262) Tide Type: Low Tide  (winds picked up with  VIX  around 22.5 knots) Subscribe to 10KT Newsletter Learn More About 10KT Facebook Twitter This is for informational purposes only and the information provided does not encompass all possible or probable outcomes. Nothing posted here is an indication of future results or is a guarantee or promise of future investment returns. In

Exit Strategy When You Buy A Stock

When you buy a boat,  buy it with the sale of it in mind . Take a look at this example: Let's say a boat is selling for $40 per share during a  Low Tide  phase and your research shows it might be a good time to buy. Before you buy, you set a goal that you'd like to make a 10% return so you will return that boat to the dock at $44. How likely is it that the boat you are sailing can reach $44? Has it reached $44 before? How many times has it reached $44? In this stock trading example, the $44 is way more important than the $40 because the stock HAS to get to $44 to make this trade work. How long are you willing to wait to hit $44? You were hoping to sail this boat less than a month, but, after you set sail, you start looking at your charts and you see it's been a while since this boat sold for $44. Furthermore, based on deteriorating  sea conditions , you think it might take a while to get back to $44 and even further research shows the boat now has a better chance of hitting

Trade Or Hold?

Trading individual stocks is time-intensive, risky and can be an emotional rollercoaster. So why trade? The answer to this question is different for everyone but here are some considerations: Do you have a high-level understanding of stocks and the stock market? Can you afford to lose every dollar you are investing? Do you like to gamble and take risks with your money? Do you enjoy researching stocks and learning about companies? Do you have enough time to research? Are you trying to trade as a hobby or a full-time job? Notice how none of those considerations are "do you want to get rich?". Very few traders outperform the overall market and you have a FAR better chance to make money if you invest your hard-earned money in the overall market than you do if you try to trade individual stocks. I say "buy  $VOO  or something similar during  Low Tides .  $VOO  tracks the performance of the S&P 500 index so it requires far less research, time, and analysis than individual

How To Choose The Right Boat

Choosing a  boat  (stock) to invest in can be (and probably should be) a difficult decision. Invest in a money pit and you will watch your hard-earned money vanish. Invest in a  boat  that requires very little maintenance and increases in value and you will have a great time investing. There are many factors to consider when choosing a boat such as their industry, how long they've been in business, the popularity of their products or services, total debt, price-to-earnings, growth rate, market cap and so much more. To make it simple, I will suggest one basic rule to start with: invest the majority of your money in  boats  that you know or, even better yet,  boats  with products or services that you personally use in your own life. Household names attract a lot of attention and are not without risk but if you believe in their products or services, perhaps others will agree with you and their stock will go up over time. And to make it even more simple. Instead of sailing an individua

Tide Update

A  Low Tide  was confirmed on May 12 at 4057 (down 4%). If we are in a  High Tide  then it will test 4300 sometime in June (4238 is the record  High Tide ) If we are still in a  Low Tide  then it will test 4057 Fair winds and following seas and buy  low and sell high! Trading Tide Levels  (at the time  of the post): Tide Level  ( S&P  @ 4192) Tide Type: High Tide  (winds steady with  VIX  around 19 knots) Subscribe to 10KT Newsletter Learn More About 10KT Facebook Twitter This is for informational purposes only and the information provided does not encompass all possible or probable outcomes. Nothing posted here is an indication of future results or is a guarantee or promise of future investment returns. Investing in stocks or bonds carries risks including losing your entire investment. Nothing is recommended, advocated, or endorsed including any third-party links, resources, or advertisements of any kind. Any investment decisions are recommended to be in conjunction with a Certifi

2021 Tide Forecasts

 There have been 5  Low Tides  so far in 2021 (about 1 per month). Here are the  Low Tides  by year: 2021: 5 so far through May 12 2020: 14 2019: 5 2018: 8 2017: 1 2016: 4 As you can see,  Low Tides  seem to form about once every two months with the exception of  2017 when there was only one (on March 27th). In 2017, you would have waited all year for the next  Low Tide  that never came. Last year was pretty volatile with 14  Low Tides  giving you plenty of opportunities to participate (6 of the  Low Tides  last year were in March and April 2020 alone). Here is a  Low Tide  forecast for the rest of this year based on average  High  and  Low Tides : December 15 4409  Projected October 21 4299  Projected August 28 4157  Projected July 5 4128 Projected May 12 4057 March 25 3854 March 4 3723 January 29 3694 January 4 3663 Note: because of the high S&P price to earnings, rising inflation possibly leading to rising interest rates, and the probability of higher taxes, today's  Tide Le

Low Tide Confirmed

 A  Low Tide  was confirmed this week at 4057 (down 4% so far). If 4057 was the end of the  Low Tide , we can expect the current  High Tide  to rise to 4300 sometime in June. The March 25, 2021  Low Tide  fell 3% to 3854 The March 4, 2021  Low Tide  fell 6% to 3723 The January 29, 2021  Low Tide  fell 5% to 3694 The January 4, 2021  Low Tide  fell 3% to 3663 Fair winds and following seas and buy  low and sell high! Trading Tide Levels  (at the time  of the post): Tide Level  ( S&P  @ 4174) Tide Type: High Tide  (winds decreasing with  VIX  around 19 knots) Subscribe to 10KT Newsletter Learn More About 10KT Facebook Twitter This is for informational purposes only and the information provided does not encompass all possible or probable outcomes. Nothing posted here is an indication of future results or is a guarantee or promise of future investment returns. Investing in stocks or bonds carries risks including losing your entire investment. Nothing is recommended, advocated, or endors